TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:34 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Chapecoense and Fluminense will determine if more than a certain number of goals are scored within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Chapecoense vs Fluminense Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A "Yes" outcome occurs if the total goals exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial line setting. Sportsbooks often adjust their odds based on betting action and expert analysis, while this market relies on the collective predictions of participants. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public perception versus professional analysis regarding the likely total goals scored in the Chapecoense vs Fluminense match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, the total number of goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market. The goal is for the final market price to converge towards the true probability of the event happening, providing a forecast of the total goals in the Chapecoense vs Fluminense game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official total goals scored in the Chapecoense vs Fluminense match, as reported by official sources. The resolution process ensures an objective determination of whether the market outcome aligns with the actual event result. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final market price and the actual outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Chapecoense or Fluminense would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also affect the expected goal total. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators and updated team lineups could shift market sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or coaching changes might also cause fluctuations in the price of contracts for this market.