TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Chapecoense and Fluminense in Brazil's top league. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the match after the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. If neither team wins during this period, the match ends in a tie.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Chapecoense vs Fluminense Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, determined after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for Chapecoense or Fluminense markets occurs only if that team secures a win within regular time; draws resolve the 'Tie' market. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, the odds on Kalshi will move accordingly, potentially offering an edge. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and public sentiment shifts leading up to Oct 25, 2026.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who buy a contract, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence in that outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the latest information available.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the final result of the Chapecoense vs Fluminense match, as officially recorded by the governing sports authority. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources and official announcements as the match approaches to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the result.
Several signals could move this market before Oct 25, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Chapecoense or Fluminense would likely have a significant impact. Any changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even news regarding team morale or coaching changes, could influence trader sentiment. Monitoring sports news and analysis will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could affect the price of contracts on Kalshi.