TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional China League 1 soccer match between Changchun Yatai and Yanbian Longding. Bettors can speculate on whether a specific team will win or if the game will end in a tie, based on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time.
The event involves determining the winner of a China League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026, between Changchun Yatai and Yanbian Longding. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Changchun Yatai secures a victory under these conditions, the 'Changchun Yatai' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Yanbian Longding achieves the win, the 'Yanbian Longding' market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie after the same duration, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The resolution strictly adheres to the official match result as recognized by the league, without considering any post-match events or adjustments.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd rather than a bookmaker’s assessment. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result, the odds here will adjust accordingly. This can lead to more accurate predictions, as the market aggregates information from a diverse range of participants, and can sometimes offer better value than traditional betting options.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific result, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence participants have in their predictions, providing a dynamic and transparent view of expectations surrounding the Changchun Yatai vs Yanbian match.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Changchun Yatai vs Yanbian match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the final score and determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result, triggering the payout of winning contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Changchun Yatai or Yanbian Longding could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can influence the price, as traders react to new information or adjust their positions based on evolving sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential market movements.