TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:21 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in China's League 1. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will secure a victory or if the game will end evenly. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extended play or penalty shootouts.
The event determines the winner of a professional China League 1 soccer match between Changchun Yatai and Nantong Zhiyun scheduled for October 31, 2026. Markets resolve based on the game's outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins, while a tie resolves the 'Tie' market positively. If the match is canceled or postponed by more than 48 hours, all markets settle at a fair price, ensuring transparency and equitable resolution regardless of scheduling changes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge closer to the event date as more information becomes available and opinions solidify.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate probabilities, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of each result for the Changchun Yatai vs Nantong Zhiyun match.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Changchun Yatai vs Nantong Zhiyun match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the final score and declare the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 31, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes can also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the price, reflecting changes in trader sentiment regarding the Changchun Yatai vs Nantong Zhiyun match.