TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 12:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Chaikovskyi Bohdan and Maksymiv Serhii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 14 at 10:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chaikovskyi Bohdan' if Chaikovskyi Bohdan wins against Maksymiv Serhii. This market will resolve to 'Maksymiv Serhii' if Maksymiv Serhii wins against Chaikovskyi Bohdan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Chaikovskyi Bohdan and Maksymiv Serhii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 14 at 10:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chaikovskyi Bohdan' if Chaikovskyi Bohdan wins against Maksymiv Serhii. This market will resolve to 'Maksymiv Serhii' if Maksymiv Serhii wins against Chaikovskyi Bohdan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering on the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely result. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the mispricing between the two types of markets. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into public perception.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a constant product market maker model, meaning the product of the liquidity available for each outcome remains constant. This ensures that there is always a market for shares, even with varying levels of trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Chaikovskyi vs. Maksymiv match as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome wins. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution. The process is designed to be transparent and objective.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in the sport, could also play a role. Public endorsements or analysis from respected sports commentators might also shift the odds. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely cause fluctuations in the market price.