TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:46 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between Chacarita Juniors and CA Patronato Parana, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Chacarita Juniors vs. CA Patronato Parana match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between Chacarita Juniors and CA Patronato Parana, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Chacarita Juniors vs. CA Patronato Parana match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying levels of information and incentives. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of each exact score. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome. It's important to note that these are independent assessments of the same event.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Chacarita Juniors vs. CA Patronato Parana match will be used to determine the winning exact score. The official scoreline, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders will be able to view the confirmed outcome on Polymarket after the match concludes and the results are verified.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could shift traders’ perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or managerial decisions could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity itself can create momentum, driving prices up or down as traders react to each other's actions. Monitoring these signals leading up to Oct 4, 2026 will be key to understanding potential market movements.