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CF Universidad de Chile vs. CD Ñublense
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CF Universidad de Chile vs. CD Ñublense?

Volume:
$151,748

U de Chile

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 6:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

U de Chile

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47,021
N/A
N/A
$25,998
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CF Universidad de Chile

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,509
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,056
N/A
N/A
$49,131
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CF Universidad de Chile vs. CD Ñublense)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,184
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nublense

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,954
N/A
N/A
$23,038
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Ñublense

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,024
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a soccer match between CF Universidad de Chile and CD Ñublense on October 12, 2026. Markets ask whether either team will win or if the game will end in a draw, based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same 90+ minute match outcome and have similar fallback procedures for data sourcing.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (ANFP), with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • A win for either team resolves the corresponding win market to 'Yes'.
  • A draw resolves the draw market to 'Yes'.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled without a make-up game, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official (or fallback) match statistics are available, but no later than 24 hours after the scheduled match completion time.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Chile Primera game, scheduled for Monday, October 12, 2026 between CF Universidad de Chile and CD Ñublense.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the U de Chile vs Nublense professional Chile Liga de Primera soccer match scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If U de Chile secures a victory under these conditions, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. If Nublense achieves the win, its market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a draw, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price following defined procedures. The outcome hinges exclusively on the result within regular time, with no consideration for extended play or tie-breaking methods.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing risk, while prediction markets allow participants to directly trade on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. This market’s implied probabilities may differ from those offered by sportsbooks due to varying information sources and the incentive structures of each platform. Examining both can provide a more nuanced understanding of potential outcomes.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-making strategies. Each platform attracts a different demographic of traders with potentially unique insights and risk tolerances. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. Polymarket might see more activity from casual fans, while Kalshi could attract more sophisticated traders. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies for this market, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.