TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:58 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Taca de Portugal game between CF Os Belenenses and FC Arouca, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CF Os Belenenses vs. FC Arouca match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Taca de Portugal game between CF Os Belenenses and FC Arouca, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CF Os Belenenses vs. FC Arouca match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and reduces the probability. This dynamic process ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment about the Belenenses vs Arouca match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Belenenses vs Arouca match – the exact score – will be used to determine which shares pay out. The market will settle to 100% for the correct exact score and 0% for all other outcomes. Resolution relies on publicly available and verifiable data regarding the match’s final score, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome for this market.
Several factors could significantly shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Belenenses or Arouca would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also alter expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical changes announced by the managers, could influence the perceived likelihood of different exact scores. Major upsets in other relevant matches could also indirectly affect sentiment and trading activity in this market.