TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This group contains markets related to the CF Montréal vs. Nashville SC MLS game on October 24th, including spread and over/under bets on total goals scored, both for the entire game and for individual halves. The markets offer various levels of spread and total goal lines for betting.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 24 at 1:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 24 at 1:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on all sides, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. The volume of $110,667 traded on this event suggests significant interest and potential for price discovery, potentially influencing or being influenced by sportsbook lines.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market design. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different pool of traders with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to distinct price formations. Additionally, Polymarket’s focus on more liquid, shorter-term markets can result in different pricing dynamics compared to Predict’s approach. These factors contribute to the observed differences in how traders assess the probabilities associated with the CF Montréal vs. Nashville SC match.