Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 18, 2026, with identical treatment of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from Liga MX governing body or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus may be used.
Core resolution logic:
Exactly one of three mutually exclusive outcomes will occur: Monterrey win, Pachuca win, or draw.
Monterrey win market resolves YES if Monterrey scores more goals than Pachuca in 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
Pachuca win market resolves YES if Pachuca scores more goals than Monterrey in 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
Draw market resolves YES if both teams score equal goals in 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Monterrey win and Pachuca win markets resolve NO, and draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all three markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the Monterrey win and Pachuca win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
Resolution Scope: Resolution is based only on the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official Liga MX announcement of the final match result, or within 2 hours after match conclusion if official statistics are published by the governing body.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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