TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlético San Luis
Volume:
$310,942
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Liga MX soccer match between CF Cruz Azul and Atlético San Luis scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are predicting the outcome of the match within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard mutually exclusive binary markets.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market due to critical structural flaw. Use Polymarket's three binary markets as the reliable settlement source. Confirm final score with Liga MX official website (ligamx.net) before resolution.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure is logically impossible: three separate resolution conditions (San Luis win, Tie, Cruz Azul win) all resolve to Yes. This violates mutual exclusivity required for valid market settlement. No clear mechanism exists to determine which outcome actually occurred.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: Draw (Yes/No), San Luis Win (Yes/No), Cruz Azul Win (Yes/No). Cancellation logic is consistent: postponement keeps market open; full cancellation resolves Draw to Yes and win markets to No. Quote: 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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