TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Czech National Football League. The contest will determine the winner based on the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The result will reflect either a victory for one of the competing teams or a draw if the teams finish level.
The event resolves based on the result of the Ceska Lipa vs Zizkov professional Czech National Football League soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Ceska Lipa wins, the 'Ceska Lipa' market resolves to Yes. If Zizkov wins, the 'Zizkov' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the regular time result.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can influence the price here, potentially creating a divergence. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, especially when there’s a lot of public information available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information as it becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ceska Lipa vs Zizkov match. Any official postponement or cancellation of the match may affect the resolution timeline, but the outcome will ultimately be determined by the final, official result as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders should monitor news sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes right before the match would likely have a significant impact. Furthermore, public opinion and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to price movements. A surprising result in a similar match involving either team could also cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to increased volume and price volatility.