TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Serie B soccer match between Cesena and Avellino. The market focuses on determining whether Cesena, Avellino, or neither (a tie) secures a victory within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The result is based solely on the final score at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Cesena vs Avellino professional Serie B soccer match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026. If Cesena wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Cesena' market resolves to Yes. If Avellino wins under the same conditions, the 'Avellino' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. All markets are resolved exclusively on the basis of the final score at the end of regular time, with no consideration given to extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or a strong narrative surrounding the event. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering a more up-to-date assessment of probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which dynamically shifts the odds. The current price reflects the aggregate belief of all traders on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of a specific result in the Cesena vs Avellino match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cesena vs Avellino match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a Cesena win, an Avellino win, or a draw—occurs according to the official match results. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Cesena or Avellino could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions impacting the match, or even significant pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also play a role. Public perception and betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks can also indirectly influence trading activity on Kalshi, as traders react to broader market trends.