TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:26 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Serie B game, scheduled for October 18 at 11:15 AM ET.
More markets for the Serie B game, scheduled for October 18 at 11:15 AM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a margin for profit, whereas Polymarket allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sets, and neither guarantees an accurate prediction of the final result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are bought for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Cesena vs. Avellino match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to finalize the market and distribute payouts to winning traders. The resolution process ensures a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Cesena FC or US Avellino 1912 could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match analysis from respected soccer commentators, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from influential traders on Polymarket could also lead to noticeable movements in the odds for this market.