TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Serie B game, scheduled for October 27 at 3:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Serie B game, scheduled for October 27 at 3:00 PM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, this market may show a different probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when new information emerges, as traders incorporate diverse perspectives into their assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if more people believe an outcome is likely, they’ll buy shares, driving up the price, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Cesena vs. Empoli match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome wins, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about coaching decisions or changes in the lineup could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, general sentiment surrounding the teams, based on media coverage and expert analysis, can play a role. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams could also influence how traders assess their chances, leading to price fluctuations in this market.