TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Paraguay Primera División game between Cerro Porteno and Sportivo Ameliano, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Cerro Porteno vs. Sportivo Ameliano match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Paraguay Primera División game between Cerro Porteno and Sportivo Ameliano, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Cerro Porteno vs. Sportivo Ameliano match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the collective intelligence of many individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities, especially when there's significant public interest or specialized knowledge involved. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities, as sportsbooks may react more slowly to new information or be influenced by biases. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their beliefs about the likelihood of each exact score. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating increased confidence in that result. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and opinions of those trading.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Cerro Porteno vs. Sportivo Ameliano match, specifically the exact score, will determine the winning shares. The resolution will be based on the official match data and will be publicly available. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and confirmed on Polymarket. It’s important to monitor the official sources for the match result to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cerro Porteno or Sportivo Ameliano would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and the final score. Finally, any significant tactical changes announced by either manager could lead to adjustments in the probabilities reflected in this market.