TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 8:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether CS 2 de Mayo will win their professional APF Division de Honor soccer game against Cerro Porteno. Currently, Kalshi gives CS 2 de Mayo a 99.0% probability of winning, with Cerro Porteno at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the result of the game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official match results. Keep an eye on the final whistle of the game on October 5, 2026, as that will determine the outcome and resolution of this market.
The event resolves based on the result of the Cerro Porteno vs CS 2 de Mayo professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match within regulation time. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, excluding any extra time periods or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks may also adjust their odds based on liability, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available and more people participate, offering a potentially more accurate forecast of the Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo match result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo match, differing from static odds found elsewhere.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The market's final price will reflect the ultimate result of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Cerro Porteno or 2 de Mayo could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-game analysis, could also drive trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches or league standings could also indirectly affect how traders assess the likelihood of different outcomes in this market.