TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:26 PM EST
Kalshi
The contest involves two soccer teams competing in a league match where the winner is determined by the score after the normal playing time, including any stoppage time, but not accounting for any subsequent tie-breaking procedures. The final tally of goals will declare the match victor.
The market resolves based on the result of the Cerignola vs Altamura professional Serie C soccer game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Cerignola wins, the 'Cerignola' market resolves to Yes. If Altamura wins, the 'Altamura' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of PredictionHero users. If a significant difference emerges between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate disagreement about the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public attention on the Cerignola vs Altamura match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Cerignola vs Altamura match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market, continuously updating to incorporate new data and insights.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Cerignola vs Altamura match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this information, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Cerignola or Altamura could significantly shift expectations. Additionally, updates on weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the match, could also cause movement. Finally, even public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams’ performance could contribute to changes in the market as traders react to new information.