TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns a Japan J1 League fixture between Cerezo and Frontale on October 17, 2026, focusing on whether each team scores at least one goal during the 90 minutes of regular play, with stoppage time counted but extra time excluded.
If Cerezo and Frontale both score a goal in the Cerezo vs Frontale Japan J1 League match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering different insights than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who consider various factors, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s strong public sentiment or inside information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome of the Cerezo vs Frontale match and the probability of both teams scoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Cerezo vs Frontale match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates the market's collective expectation for this specific outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Cerezo Osaka and FC Frontale score at least one goal during the scheduled match. The official result will be used to determine the winning contracts. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake. The final outcome will be determined by the official match statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Cerezo vs Frontale match. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift the market. Unexpected team lineup announcements, tactical changes, or even pre-match commentary from analysts could all contribute to price movements. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations and move the market accordingly.