TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:19 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Cerezo Ōsaka and JEF United Ichihara Chiba, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cerezo Ōsaka" if Cerezo Ōsaka are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "JEF United Ichihara Chiba" if JEF United Ichihara Chiba are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Cerezo Ōsaka and JEF United Ichihara Chiba, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cerezo Ōsaka" if Cerezo Ōsaka are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "JEF United Ichihara Chiba" if JEF United Ichihara Chiba are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by individual traders on Polymarket, may reveal different probabilities as participants weigh various factors, such as team form, injuries, and historical performance. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access or varying interpretations of the same data. Observing these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of a team scoring first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and perspectives. The market's efficiency relies on the active engagement of informed traders and the availability of relevant data. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the chance of either Cerezo Osaka or JEF United Ichihara Chiba taking the lead.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Cerezo Osaka versus JEF United Ichihara Chiba match. Official match reports from recognized sports news sources will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the first team to score, based on their shareholdings at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cerezo Osaka or JEF United Ichihara Chiba would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift predictions. Unexpected weather conditions or tactical adjustments announced by the managers could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, any significant public endorsements or expert analyses could influence trader sentiment and, consequently, the market price.