TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential between Central Michigan and Ohio in their scheduled college football game. Outcomes depend on which team wins and by how many points they win, offering various thresholds for victory margins.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Central Michigan vs Ohio college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If Ohio wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold—for example, more than 20.5 points—the corresponding "Yes" outcome settles. Conversely, if Central Michigan achieves a winning margin above its listed threshold, that market resolves to "Yes". For any game delayed but starting within 48 hours of the original kickoff time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final confirmed score. Should the match fail to commence within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, ensuring impartial resolution regardless of subsequent gameplay.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell contracts. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy 'yes' contracts (believing the spread will be as predicted) or 'no' contracts (believing the spread will be different). The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of that spread occurring. Conversely, increased selling pressure on 'yes' contracts lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Central Michigan vs Ohio game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout of $1.00 per contract, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment. The final spread will be the determining factor for payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Central Michigan or Ohio would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the game, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant shifts in public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also play a role. Any late-breaking information affecting team morale or preparedness has the potential to move this market before Oct 11, 2026.