TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$222,594,306
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,033,877
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,328,926,524
576,847
Markets across
14,568
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,055
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Closed: Feb 14, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Central Connecticut State Blue Devils and Fairleigh Dickinson Knights scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and combined total points scored.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market structure is logically inconsistent (both outcomes resolve Yes), while Polymarket provides directional resolution. Additionally, spread point thresholds and over/under totals differ between platforms.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi moneyline as a game-confirmation market only—it does not differentiate winners. For directional bets, use Polymarket moneyline. Monitor the 2-point spread in O/U lines (137.5 vs 135.5); if final combined score lands between 136-137, Polymarket Over/Under 135.5 resolves Over while 137.5 resolves Under, creating a divergence zone.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market structure: Both FDU win and Central Connecticut St. win resolve to Yes. This is a tautology that cannot differentiate outcomes. No directional resolution possible.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to winning team name (Central Connecticut State Blue Devils or Fairleigh Dickinson Knights). Spread markets use -1.5 thresholds for both teams. Over/Under totals are 137.5 and 135.5. Quote: 'If the Central Connecticut State Blue Devils win, the market will resolve to Central Connecticut State Blue Devils.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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