TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:45 AM EST
Kalshi
This event covers various thresholds for total goals in an upcoming soccer match between Central Coast and Newcastle. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific numbers after regular time, excluding extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored by both teams in the Central Coast vs Newcastle professional Australia A League soccer game scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution hinges on whether the aggregate goal count exceeds specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from the goal count. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. However, sportsbook odds can be a useful data point for comparison, especially when assessing initial market reactions and identifying potential discrepancies. It’s important to remember that both represent different forms of forecasting, influenced by different factors and participant motivations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Central Coast vs Newcastle match. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Central Coast vs Newcastle match will be used to determine the winning contract. Any goals scored during regulation time or added time will count towards the total, but penalty shootouts will not be considered. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Central Coast or Newcastle would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches revealed before kickoff might prompt traders to reassess the probabilities of different total goal outcomes. General football news and analysis surrounding both teams could also contribute to market fluctuations.