TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:37 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Central Coast and Newcastle, focusing on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The event allows participants to speculate on whether a specific team will win or if the game will end in a tie. Outcomes are determined purely by the final score at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Central Coast vs Newcastle professional Australia A League soccer game scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match within this timeframe. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular time.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. However, initial odds on Kalshi may differ from those found at sportsbooks due to varying levels of information and differing participant motivations. It’s common to see convergence as new information becomes available and the event draws nearer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential results of the Central Coast versus Newcastle match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the A-League match between Central Coast and Newcastle, as determined by the league organizers. The outcome of this market will reflect which team wins, or if the match ends in a tie, based on the official scoreline reported by the A-League. Traders will be settled based on their positions in the market at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Central Coast or Newcastle would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, could also shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over the other. Furthermore, any public statements from coaches or key players that suggest a change in strategy or team morale could move this market as traders react to the new information.