TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$192,072,993

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,842,388,377

408,027

Markets across

40,419

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Central Arkansas Bears vs. Baylor Bears (W)
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Central Arkansas Bears vs. Baylor Bears?

Total volume:
$21
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$30
0%
Open interest:
$21
0%

Baylor

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 03d:10h:06m

Baylor wins

50%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 92¢ buys you 109 shares | Odds: 50% Total Payout: $109 | Net Profit: $9 Multiplier: 1.09x | ROI: 9% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Baylor

Trade
50%
Yes 92¢No 46¢
38¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
3d 10h 6m
Active
polymarket

Central Arkansas Bears vs. Baylor Bears (W)

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 7h 6m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
50%
Yes 92¢No 46¢
Avg: 68¢Max: 98¢
kalshi

Central Arkansas

Trade
N/A
N/A
43¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 10h 6m
Active
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Central Arkansas and Baylor, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. The markets ask who will win the game, with provisions for cancellation or abandonment.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket allows for resolution based on any official determination of the game outcome, while Kalshi explicitly requires a win by either team.Hero tip: Consider the potential for a non-standard game outcome (e.g., forfeit) which may resolve Polymarket but not Kalshi. Focus on markets with more specific win/loss criteria if you want to avoid this risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on any official determination of the game outcome, including scenarios beyond a simple win/loss, with a 50-50 split for cancellation/abandonment. "If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either Baylor or Central Arkansas wins the game. "If Baylor wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Central Arkansas wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming CWBB game between Central Arkansas Bears and Baylor Bears, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official winner of the Central Arkansas vs Baylor women's college basketball game scheduled for November 5, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. Should the game be canceled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes in the Baylor vs. Central Arkansas game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $21, with $21 traded in the last 24 hours. The consensus view, based on current trading activity, suggests a fairly even matchup. Polymarket currently favors Central Arkansas Bears vs. Baylor Bears (W) at 50%, while Kalshi leans toward Baylor wins. This allows for a comprehensive view of market sentiment surrounding the game, combining insights from multiple prediction venues.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized market. It is common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing trends.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi are common due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base, trading volume, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity available on each platform can vary, leading to price slippage and temporary imbalances. Different market makers and arbitrageurs may also be active on each platform, contributing to price divergence. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Central Arkansas Bears vs. Baylor Bears (W) at 50%, while Kalshi leans toward Baylor wins, highlighting these differing market perceptions.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Baylor vs. Central Arkansas game will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The outcome will be based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports authority, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also move the market. Significant betting activity or large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could also indicate new information or a change in sentiment. Finally, any pre-game analysis or expert opinions that strongly favor one team over the other could influence trading behavior and, consequently, the market’s price.