TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:07 PM EST
Kalshi
Betting interest will focus on the margin of victory in the Celtic versus Heart of Midlothian encounter, particularly whether Celtic achieves a decisive win or if Heart of Midlothian pulls off an unexpected dominant performance. The result will indicate the balance of power between these two rivals on the day.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential if either Celtic or Heart of Midlothian wins the professional Scottish Premiership soccer game originally scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). A market resolves to 'Yes' if Celtic wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Heart of Midlothian wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The secondary rule specifies that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants or from the influence of public perception. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer, potentially offering value to informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades result in financial gains.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian match, as determined by official match results. It’s important to note that the final result will be sourced from reliable and publicly available data to ensure a fair and accurate settlement of all contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed outcome following the match's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could all impact market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable, or shifts in public opinion based on expert analysis, are likely to cause price movements. Any significant development related to the teams or the match itself has the potential to shift the probabilities reflected in this market, creating opportunities for traders to react to new information.