TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Scottish Premiership. Participants can speculate on whether one of the two teams will secure a victory or if the game will conclude without a clear winner. The resolution depends purely on the final result after the standard playing time.
The markets resolve based on the official result of the Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian Scottish Premiership match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Celtic market occurs if Celtic wins the match within regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Heart of Midlothian market occurs if Heart of Midlothian secures a victory within the same timeframe. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends level after regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. No outcomes consider extra time or penalty shootouts; only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of prediction market participants. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, and sometimes offer more accurate forecasts, especially when there’s significant public interest in the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective beliefs of all participants. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share of the potential payout if their predicted outcome comes to fruition. This creates a real-time, market-driven forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Celtic versus Heart of Midlothian match in the Scottish Premiership. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on publicly available and trusted sources. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not. The process is designed to be transparent and rely on established, verifiable data.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable, or changes in managerial decisions, would likely cause volatility. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the match can also impact trading activity. Even weather conditions on the day of the match could play a role, particularly if they are expected to heavily influence the style of play. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.