TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Celtic and Celta Vigo. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds by the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Celtic vs Celta Vigo Europa League match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, explicitly excluding goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total goals exceed that threshold. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often incorporating information not immediately available to sportsbooks or public opinion. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows for dynamic adjustments as new information emerges, such as team news or weather conditions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and the incentive structures of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially closer to the event, as they aggregate a wider range of perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, the total goals scored in the Celtic vs Celta Vigo match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence in each possible outcome, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official total goals scored in the Celtic vs Celta Vigo match, as reported by official sources. The final score, including any added time, will determine whether the market settles above or below the threshold defined by the contracts traded. Traders will then be paid out or required to cover their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Celtic or Celta Vigo would likely cause significant movement. Tactical changes announced by either manager, or unexpected weather conditions on match day, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders or large-volume participants on Kalshi could drive price fluctuations. Changes in public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert predictions, might also contribute to shifts in the market’s pricing.