TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:12h:59m
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In the upcoming match between Celtic FC and Kilmarnock FC, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Celtic FC" if Celtic FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Kilmarnock FC" if Kilmarnock FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Celtic FC and Kilmarnock FC, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Celtic FC" if Celtic FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Kilmarnock FC" if Kilmarnock FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and aim to profit by attracting bets on both sides, incorporating a margin for themselves. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to take either side of the outcome, creating a more purely probabilistic price. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Celtic FC or Kilmarnock FC will score first. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy shares in a particular team, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Celtic FC versus Kilmarnock FC match. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially declared and verified, based on the established rules of Polymarket.
Several factors can influence trading in this market, including team form, player injuries, historical performance, and even weather conditions. Any news that affects the perceived likelihood of either team scoring first is likely to impact trading activity. For example, a key player being ruled out with an injury could cause the price of shares in their team to fall. Public sentiment and media coverage can also play a role, as traders react to the latest information and adjust their positions accordingly.