TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:07h:03m
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This group forecasts the outcome of a Scottish Premiership soccer match between Celtic FC and Kilmarnock FC on November 8, 2026. Markets exist for Celtic winning, Kilmarnock winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.
This event is for the upcoming Scottish Premiership game, scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 between Celtic FC and Kilmarnock FC.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Celtic vs Kilmarnock professional Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for November 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Celtic market occurs if Celtic wins the match within regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Kilmarnock resolves if Kilmarnock secures the victory in regular time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends level after regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time is considered.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are formed. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and aim to balance their risk, while prediction markets reflect the collective intelligence of many individuals. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Furthermore, prediction markets often have lower transaction costs than sportsbooks, and allow participants to take positions on both sides of an outcome, unlike most sportsbooks. This market provides a fascinating comparison point.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, which influences trading behavior. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can impact price discovery. Polymarket currently favors Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-08? at 82.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Celtic wins at 81.0%. These discrepancies reflect the independent price-setting mechanisms and participant dynamics inherent to each venue, creating opportunities for arbitrage and diverse perspectives on the Celtic vs. Kilmarnock match.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Celtic vs. Kilmarnock match will be used to determine the winning outcome. We rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the result, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor news sources and official match reports as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the final outcome of this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Celtic or Kilmarnock would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, and any pre-match tactical announcements from the managers, could influence trading activity. A significant shift in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage or social media discussions, could also contribute to price movement in this market.