TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Celta Vigo wins by more than 2.5 goals
- Kalshi
Celta Vigo wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 03d:01h:21m
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This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming Europa League soccer match between Celta Vigo and Union Gilloise. Each market corresponds to a specific goal-differential threshold that determines the outcome. The resolution depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential of the Celta Vigo vs Union Gilloise professional Europa League soccer match scheduled for November 5, 2026. All outcomes are determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' result occurs if the specified team wins by the exact margin defined in each respective market—either more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals. The governing body’s official result will be used for resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or its trademarks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of numerous independent traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi to reflect their collective view. This can sometimes lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly early on.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Celta Vigo vs Union Gilloise match as officially recorded by sports data providers. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Celta Vigo or Union Gilloise would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in expectations and drive price fluctuations in this market.