TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:20h:01m
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This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Celta Vigo and Levante in Spain's La Liga. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether either team wins outright or if the match ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Celta Vigo versus Levante La Liga match scheduled for November 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for either team resolves the respective market to Yes, while a tied result resolves the Tie market to Yes. Extra time and penalty shootouts following a tied regular-time result are excluded from consideration. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook lines, especially closer to the event's start time as more traders participate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more a particular outcome is traded, the more liquid it becomes, and the tighter the spread between the bid and ask prices.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Celta Vigo vs Levante match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The platform will verify the final result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Celta Vigo or Levante could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue might also play a role. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment, fueled by sports analysts or media coverage, could drive trading volume and price movements. Major events impacting team morale or performance could also cause fluctuations in this market.