TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CEHL: Olomouc vs. Motor Ceske Budejovice
Volume:
$14,074
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Czech Extraliga ice hockey match between HC Olomouc and Motor Ceske Budejovice scheduled for March 4, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of this single game, with different resolution structures across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical impossibility: both team outcomes are mapped to the same Yes resolution, making it impossible to distinguish between the two mutually exclusive game outcomes in a binary Yes/No framework.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market until the resolution logic is corrected. Use Polymarket as the authoritative source. Kalshi's market appears to have a template error where both outcomes were incorrectly assigned to Yes instead of Yes/No.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary outcome structure: Olomouc win resolves to Olomouc, Motor win resolves to Motor Ceske Budejovice. Handles postponements (market stays open) and cancellations (50-50 split). Includes shootout clarification (one goal added to winner's score). Source: hokej.cz.
- Kalshi: Defective binary Yes/No structure with logical contradiction: states both 'If Ceske Budejovice wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If HC Olomouc wins...resolves to Yes'. No resolution path for No outcome. No cancellation or postponement handling specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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