A prediction market on the outcome of a Czech Extraliga professional ice hockey match between HC Liberec (Bili Tygri Liberec) and HC Sparta Praha scheduled for February 25, 2026. The market resolves based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Sparta Praha win OR Liberec win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's binary logic is internally consistent.
Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded. The platform must clarify whether Yes means Sparta Praha wins or Liberec wins, or restructure as two separate binary markets. Polymarket offers a tradeable, logically sound alternative.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear resolution paths: Liberec win resolves to 'Liberec', Sparta Prague win resolves to 'Sparta Prague'. Includes contingency rules for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Shootout treated as one goal added to winner's score.
Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic: 'If HC Sparta Praha wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Bili Tygri Liberec wins... resolves to Yes.' Both possible match outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), creating logical impossibility. No contingency rules provided for postponement or cancellation.
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