TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:56 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming ABA League game, scheduled for October 3 at 11:00AM ET: If the Cedevita Olimpija win, the market will resolve to "Cedevita Olimpija". If the Cibona win, the market will resolve to "Cibona". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming ABA League game, scheduled for October 3 at 11:00AM ET: If the Cedevita Olimpija win, the market will resolve to "Cedevita Olimpija". If the Cibona win, the market will resolve to "Cibona". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. Often, this leads to prediction market odds being more efficient, meaning they more closely reflect the true underlying probabilities of an event occurring. However, sportsbook odds can be a useful point of comparison, and discrepancies may highlight areas where the market perceives an advantage or undervaluation. It's important to remember that both represent different perspectives on the same event.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cedevita Olimpija versus Cibona basketball game. The winning team, as determined by the official game score, will be the outcome reflected in the market's resolution. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result. This provides a clear and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant team performance in preceding games could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player availability would also likely cause movement. Furthermore, broader news related to the Slovenian basketball league or the teams’ overall form could impact the market. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also play a role, though the market ultimately reflects the beliefs of traders on Polymarket.