TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group concerns the outcome of a single ABA League basketball game between Cedevita Olimpija and Buducnost. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled without a reschedule.
In the upcoming ABA League game, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: If the Cedevita Olimpija win, the market will resolve to "Cedevita Olimpija". If the Buducnost win, the market will resolve to "Buducnost". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
The market resolves based on the outcome of the men's professional Adriatic ABA basketball game between KK Buducnost Voli and KK Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana, scheduled for October 24, 2026, at 11:00 AM EDT. If KK Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana wins, the first market resolves to Yes; if KK Buducnost Voli wins, the second market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, influencing the price through supply and demand. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbooks, or be influenced by different types of bettors. Examining both can provide a more well-rounded understanding of the likely result.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information, which can influence trading behavior. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can differ, impacting price discovery. Currently, Polymarket favors Cedevita Olimpija vs. Buducnost at 97, while Kalshi has no listed percentage. These differences in participation and trading activity contribute to the observed price variations in this market.