TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:42 PM EST
Kalshi
Two Brazilian Serie B soccer teams, Ceara and Juventude RS, will compete in a match scheduled for October 17, 2026. The outcome depends solely on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the result of the Ceara vs Juventude RS professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Ceara wins, the 'Ceara' market resolves to Yes; if Juventude RS wins, the 'Juventude RS' market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price according to the rules. The markets cover only the regular time result, excluding extra time or penalties.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of an outcome. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own analysis. It’s important to consider all available information when making a prediction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to changes in sentiment, and the platform's mechanism ensures efficient price discovery based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ceara vs Juventude match, as declared by the governing sports authority. All data used for resolution will be sourced from publicly available and widely accepted sources to ensure a fair and transparent process. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the verified result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or even pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators could also move the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in sentiment and cause prices to fluctuate. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market before Oct 17, 2026.