TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 9:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a professional soccer league. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. This determines the event's resolution based on their in-game performance.
If Ceara and Goias both score a goal in the Ceara vs Goias Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Oct 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or house biases. This market, driven by traders on Kalshi, represents a different perspective, potentially incorporating information not fully captured by sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, injuries, or even weather conditions, offering opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe both teams will score, the 'Yes' contract price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Ceara and Goias score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the net, and that information will be used to settle the contracts on Kalshi. The result will be based on the standard 90 minutes of play, plus any added time as determined by the referee.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Ceara or Goias would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or strong winds are predicted, could also impact the perceived likelihood of goals. Team lineup announcements, tactical changes, and even pre-match analysis from reputable football experts could all contribute to shifts in trading activity on Kalshi, affecting the price of this market.