TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 8:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This event assesses if both Ceara and Criciuma will score in their Brasileiro Serie B fixture scheduled for October 8, 2026. The result hinges on whether each team scores at least one goal during the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with own goals counting for the team they are awarded to.
If Ceara and Criciuma both score a goal in the Ceara vs Criciuma Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of both teams scoring, they can influence the price on Kalshi. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction market odds sometimes being more accurate than traditional sportsbook lines, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Ceara and Criciuma will score. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in a 'Yes' outcome. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down, suggesting a belief that both teams will not score. The market price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Ceara and Criciuma score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a recognized sports data provider will be used to determine the final outcome. Traders who correctly predicted whether both teams would score will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. The market will close prior to the match's completion to allow for accurate settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Ceara or Criciuma would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or low-scoring games, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and goal-scoring opportunities. Finally, significant shifts in public opinion, even outside of trading activity, could influence how traders assess the probability of both teams scoring.