TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 8:31 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Bolivia LFPB game, scheduled for October 31 at 3:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Bolivia LFPB game, scheduled for October 31 at 3:00 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probability of events. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, prediction markets can quickly adjust as new information emerges and more people participate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions and risk assessments among bettors and traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in different outcomes. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated wisdom of the crowd, constantly updating as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions based on their own analysis and insights.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Bolivian soccer match will be used to determine the winning share(s). Resolution will depend on official sources declaring the winner of the match, or in the case of a draw, confirming that result. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or significant shifts in public opinion regarding their performance, could also lead to price movements. Any major development related to the players or the teams involved in the Bolivian soccer match has the potential to alter the probabilities reflected in this market.