TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:59 PM EST
Kalshi
In this soccer tie, one team must progress to the next round of a tournament based on the match result after regular time, with no account for extra time or penalties. The outcome is settled within the standard 90-minute timeframe plus stoppage time.
If CD Xerez advance past Cadiz in the CD Xerez vs Cadiz soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cadiz advance past CD Xerez in the CD Xerez vs Cadiz soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their liabilities and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – this market tends to adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. Discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on price differences between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the CD Xerez vs Cadiz match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market clears at the best available prices. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market is constantly updating to reflect new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the CD Xerez vs Cadiz match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The exact payout amount will depend on the price of the contract at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either CD Xerez or Cadiz would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could also shift the market. Monitoring these signals and their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.