TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:08 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game between CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador and CSD Macara, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador vs. CSD Macara match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game between CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador and CSD Macara, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador vs. CSD Macara match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying levels of information and incentives. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of an event. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions on team form, player availability, or even external factors influencing the game. It is common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from, or converge with, traditional sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that score occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. The total volume traded provides insight into the market’s confidence in each possible outcome, and the price movements indicate how opinions are evolving leading up to the match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Ecuadorian soccer match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score reported by official sources will determine the winning shares in this market. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing soccer league and widely reported by reputable sports news outlets. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market is settled.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Universidad Catolica del Ecuador or CSD Macara would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, unexpected tactical decisions announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any significant public sentiment shifts, reflected in analysis from sports commentators, could drive changes in the perceived probabilities and, therefore, the prices within this market.