TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Chilean professional soccer match between CD Unión La Calera and O'Higgins FC scheduled for March 16, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are structured to resolve based on the final outcome (win, loss, or draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, using official governing body statistics as the primary resolution source.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Market structure differs between platforms: Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic for the Draw market, while Kalshi's cancellation and postponement handling is not explicitly defined. Both platforms agree on the core resolution window (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and primary source (official governing body statistics).Hero Tip:
Pay close attention to the Draw market on Polymarket, which resolves Yes if the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game—this is opposite to the La Calera and O'Higgins markets. Before trading on Kalshi, obtain explicit confirmation of how that platform handles cancellations and postponements, as this information is absent from the provided terms.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets. La Calera Win and O'Higgins Win resolve No if canceled with no makeup. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup. All markets remain open if postponed. Primary source: ANFP official statistics or credible consensus if not published within 2 hours of conclusion.Kalshi:
Three outcome conditions (La Calera Win / O'Higgins Win / Tie) each resolve Yes if that outcome occurs. Cancellation and postponement logic not explicitly stated. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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