TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CD Tondela vs. Rio Ave FC
Volume:
$227,893
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Liga Portugal soccer match between CD Tondela and Rio Ave FC scheduled for March 9, 2026. Markets across platforms track the three possible outcomes: Tondela win, Rio Ave win, or draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution logic differs between platforms. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, while Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes upon total cancellation (no make-up game), whereas win markets resolve No.Hero Tip:
Monitor Liga Portugal official announcements for any postponement or cancellation. If the match is postponed, all markets remain open pending rescheduling. If canceled entirely with no make-up game, expect Polymarket draw market to resolve Yes and win markets to resolve No; Kalshi's resolution path is undefined in this scenario and may require manual adjudication.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets (Tondela win, Rio Ave win, Tie) each resolve Yes if their outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit language addressing postponement or cancellation. Quote: 'If Tondela wins the Tondela vs Rio Ave professional Liga Portugal soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 9, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with explicit postponement and cancellation clauses. Win markets (Rio Ave, Tondela) resolve No if canceled with no make-up game; draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up game. Postponed games remain open. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) vs. 'this market will resolve Yes' (draw market).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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