TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CD Tolima vs. CD Coquimbo Unido
Volume:
$171,081
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for Tuesday, April 28, 2026 between CD Tolima and CD Coquimbo Unido.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation, while all win markets (Polymarket and Kalshi) resolve NO on cancellation. This creates an inconsistent treatment of the cancellation edge case across logically related markets.Hero Tip:
If you believe cancellation risk is non-trivial, the Polymarket draw market is relatively overvalued as a hedge. Conversely, if cancellation is unlikely, this divergence has minimal practical impact. Confirm with Polymarket support whether cancellation truly equals a draw or if this is a rule error before taking large positions.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Tolima win resolves YES if Tolima wins, NO otherwise or if canceled; (2) Draw resolves YES if match ends in a draw OR if canceled entirely with no make-up game; (3) Coquimbo win resolves YES if Coquimbo wins, NO otherwise or if canceled. Primary source is official CONMEBOL statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
- Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcome markets (Tie, Tolima, Coquimbo) all resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation logic is not explicitly stated, but standard Kalshi practice treats cancellation as NO for all outcomes (game did not occur, so no outcome was achieved).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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