TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 6:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a LigaPro soccer match between CD Tecnico Universitario and Mushuc Runa SC, scheduled for October 26, 2026. Markets ask whether either team will win or if the game will end in a draw, based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game, scheduled for Monday, October 26, 2026 between CD Tecnico Universitario and Mushuc Runa SC.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Tecnico Uni vs Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro soccer match scheduled for October 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins, while a tie resolves the 'Tie' market positively. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootout results do not affect these markets, which focus solely on the regulation time outcome.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting lines that attract balanced betting, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating a wider range of information and potentially offering more accurate probabilities. For this market, comparing the implied probabilities from both prediction markets and sportsbooks can reveal discrepancies and potentially identify undervalued opportunities.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts a different set of participants with varying levels of expertise and information, which influences price discovery. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can impact price volatility and spread. While both markets aim to predict the same outcome for the Ecuadorian soccer match, these factors can create temporary discrepancies in the odds offered.