TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:17h:55m
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More markets for the Copa del Rey game, scheduled for October 28 at 2:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Copa del Rey game, scheduled for October 28 at 2:00 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived from different sources and motivations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately determining the implied probability of each result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a specific outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market, and winning shares will be redeemable according to the final result. The platform will verify the outcome against available data to ensure accurate settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could all impact predictions. Significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-match commentary, could also move the market. Finally, large trades by individual participants on Polymarket can create short-term price fluctuations, especially if they represent a strong conviction about a particular outcome.