TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CD Santa Clara vs. Vitória SC
Volume:
$90,954
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Liga Portugal soccer match between CD Santa Clara and Vitória SC scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are attempting to resolve the outcome based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction: three mutually exclusive outcomes are presented as independent Yes/No resolutions, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, opponent team naming diverges between platforms (Vitória SC vs. Guimaraes), creating ambiguity about match identity.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It cannot resolve coherently. Polymarket offers three clear, mutually exclusive binary markets with consistent resolution logic. Verify the correct opponent team name with Liga Portugal before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Draw Yes/No, Vitória SC Win Yes/No, Santa Clara Win Yes/No) with mutually exclusive outcomes. Resolution tied to Liga Portugal official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, or credible reporting consensus if official stats delayed. Cancellation without makeup resolves Draw to Yes, Win markets to No.
- Kalshi: Single market with three outcome branches (Tie, Guimaraes Win, Santa Clara Win), each presented as resolving to Yes independently. This is logically impossible—only one outcome can occur per match. Market structure violates basic resolution coherence. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins...then resolves to Yes. If Guimaraes wins...then resolves to Yes. If Santa Clara wins...then resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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