TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 6:44 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CD Santa Clara and Sport Lisboa e Benfica, scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Santa Clara" if CD Santa Clara are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between CD Santa Clara and Sport Lisboa e Benfica, scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Santa Clara" if CD Santa Clara are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each team scoring first. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that there's an arbitrage opportunity for informed traders. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are formed through different mechanisms.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately predict the outcome, as correct predictions yield profits.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first goal in the CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica match will determine the winning outcome. Resolution will be based on the official match records, and any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market is settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Pre-match analysis from sports analysts, tactical previews, and even weather conditions on match day can all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or in-game events during other matches involving these teams could also cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market before Oct 26, 2026.