TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CD Riestra vs. CA Huracán
Volume:
$116,099
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera División soccer match between CD Riestra and CA Huracán scheduled for February 21, 2026. Three markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi covering the three possible outcomes: Riestra win, Huracán win, or draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi have conflicting cancellation resolution rules. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation while win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's language is ambiguous and does not explicitly address cancellation, creating potential settlement disputes.Hero Tip:
Traders should request written clarification from both platforms on cancellation procedures before February 21, 2026. If the game is canceled, Polymarket draw positions will resolve YES while win positions resolve NO, creating a synthetic arbitrage opportunity. Kalshi's lack of explicit cancellation language introduces settlement risk.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Riestra win (YES if Riestra wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise), Huracán win (YES if Huracán wins, NO otherwise). Cancellation with no make-up: Draw market resolves YES, both win markets resolve NO. Postponement: all markets remain open. Resolution scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets covering all outcomes: Huracán wins, Riestra wins, Tie. Each market resolves YES if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; language does not address postponement or cancellation scenarios. Potential interpretation: all markets resolve YES if any outcome occurs, but cancellation handling is undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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